Search results for: this-time-is-different

This Time Is Different

Author : Carmen M. Reinhart
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A comprehensive look at international financial crises that puts more recent economic meltdowns into perspective Throughout history, rich and poor countries alike have been lending, borrowing, crashing—and recovering—their way through an extraordinary range of financial crises. Each time, the experts have chimed, "this time is different"—claiming that the old rules of valuation no longer apply and that the new situation bears little similarity to past disasters. With this breakthrough study, leading economists Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff definitively prove them wrong. Covering sixty-six countries across five continents, This Time Is Different presents a comprehensive look at the varieties of financial crises, and guides us through eight astonishing centuries of government defaults, banking panics, and inflationary spikes—from medieval currency debasements to today's subprime catastrophe. Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff, leading economists whose work has been influential in the policy debate concerning the current financial crisis, provocatively argue that financial combustions are universal rites of passage for emerging and established market nations. The authors draw important lessons from history to show us how much—or how little—we have learned. Using clear, sharp analysis and comprehensive data, Reinhart and Rogoff document that financial fallouts occur in clusters and strike with surprisingly consistent frequency, duration, and ferocity. They examine the patterns of currency crashes, high and hyperinflation, and government defaults on international and domestic debts—as well as the cycles in housing and equity prices, capital flows, unemployment, and government revenues around these crises. While countries do weather their financial storms, Reinhart and Rogoff prove that short memories make it all too easy for crises to recur. An important book that will affect policy discussions for a long time to come, This Time Is Different exposes centuries of financial missteps.

This Time Is Different

Author : Carmen M. Reinhart
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Examines financial crises of the past and discusses similarities between these events and the current crisis, presenting and comparing historical patterns in bank failures, inflation, debt, currency, housing, employment, and government spending.

SUMMARY This Time Is Different Eight Centuries Of Financial Folly By Carmen M Reinhart And Kenneth S Rogoff

Author : Shortcut Edition
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* Our summary is short, simple and pragmatic. It allows you to have the essential ideas of a big book in less than 30 minutes. By reading this summary, you will discover the salient features of financial crises around the world over the last eight centuries. You will also discover that : Financial crises always unfold in more or less the same way; In the 16th, 17th and 18th centuries, the French state went bankrupt several times; This is also the case of Spain, which broke all records for foreign debt defaults in the 19th century; Denmark experienced financial panic during the Napoleonic Wars; Pre-communist China was a defaulting debtor; The subprime crisis in the United States in 2007 is directly responsible for the global financial crisis of 2008. This book is already a classic. For the first time, eminent economists highlight the similarities between all financial crises over a long period of time. Until now, due to a lack of adequate documentation, the world's financial history hardly goes back beyond 1800. Reaching 1700 or 1600 was almost prehistoric. This is now a thing of the past thanks to Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff, whose patient and meticulous research has made it possible to reconstruct the puzzle of financial crises through the ages, in all their complexity, going back to the European Middle Ages. *Buy now the summary of this book for the modest price of a cup of coffee!

The Second Great Contraction

Author : Carmen Reinhart
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We've been assured that the recession is over, but the country and the economy continue to feel the effects of the 2008 financial crisis, and people are still searching for answers about what caused it, what it has wrought, and how we can recover. This selection from the best-selling book This Time Is Different --the definitive history of financial crises, including the recent subprime meltdown--answers these questions and more. Princeton Shorts are brief selections excerpted from influential Princeton University Press publications produced exclusively in eBook format. They are selected with the firm belief that while the original work remains an important and enduring product, sometimes we can all benefit from a quick take on a topic worthy of a longer book. In a world where every second counts, how better to stay up-to speed on current events and digest the kernels of wisdom found in the great works of the past? Princeton Shorts enables you to be an instant expert in a world where information is everywhere but quality is at a premium. The Second Great Contraction does just that.

External Finance Sudden Stops and Financial Crisis

Author : Mr.F. Gulcin Ozkan
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This paper develops a two-country DSGE model to investigate the transmission of a global financial crisis to a small open economy. We find that economies hit by a sudden stop arising from financial distress in the global economy are likely to face a more prolonged crisis than sudden stop episodes of domestic origin. Moreover, in contrast to the existing literature, our results suggest that the greater a country's trade integration with the rest of the world, the greater the response of its macroeconomic aggregates to a sudden stop of capital flows.

The Resolution of Sovereign Debt Crises

Author : Jeannette Abel
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Die Insolvenz von Staaten ist keineswegs ein seltenes oder neues Phänomen. Dennoch herrscht weiterhin die Maxime vor: "Staaten gehen nicht pleite". Bisher gibt es deshalb auch kein geregeltes Insolvenzverfahren für Staaten, obwohl es an Vorschlägen für ein derartiges Verfahren auf internationaler Ebene nicht mangelt. Das vorliegende Werk setzt sich mit den derzeitigen Lösungsmechanismen für Staatsschuldenkrisen kritisch auseinander und zeigt Möglichkeiten für den künftigen Umgang mit derartigen Krisen auf. Ein besonderer Fokus liegt hierbei auf bisherigen Lösungsansätzen auf europäischer Ebene: den Hilfspaketen für Griechenland, dem EFSM, dem EFSF und dem ESM. Diese werden auf ihre Zweckmäßigkeit geprüft sowie daraufhin untersucht, ob sie insolvenzrechtliche Elemente enthalten. Letztlich wird ein mögliches Insolvenzverfahren für Staaten auf EU Ebene und dessen Umsetzungsmöglichkeiten erörtert.

The Crisis This Time

Author : Greg Albo
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Contributors to this volume on economic crisis address key themes: -putting 'the crisis this time' in historical and theoretical perspective -analyzing the role of banks and derivatives in global financialization -interrogating Wall Street and the City of London before and after the crisis -surveying the crisis in the USA, the UK, Europe, Japan and South Africa -taking the measure of the impact of the crisis on working class families -showing how 'exit strategies' are reviving neoliberalism -surveying the struggles against the new public austerity in Greece, Ireland, UK and USA This volume ù the first of two ù offers critical perspectives on 'exit strategies' geared towards revitalizing neoliberal capitalism and considers the social and political impact of the crisis on the working class. Next year's volume will extend the geographical focus to China, the Middle East, Eastern Europe and Latin America, and deepen the analysis of the epicentre of the crisis in the USA.

The Crash Course

Author : Chris Martenson
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The next twenty years will be completely unlike the last twenty years. The world is in economic crisis, and there are no easy fixes to our predicament. Unsustainable trends in the economy, energy, and the environment have finally caught up with us and are converging on a very narrow window of time—the "Twenty-Teens." The Crash Course presents our predicament and illuminates the path ahead, so you can face the coming disruptions and thrive--without fearing the future or retreating into denial. In this book you will find solid facts and grounded reasoning presented in a calm, positive, non-partisan manner. Our money system places impossible demands upon a finite world. Exponentially rising levels of debt, based on assumptions of future economic growth to fund repayment, will shudder to a halt and then reverse. Unfortunately, our financial system does not operate in reverse. The consequences of massive deleveraging will be severe. Oil is essential for economic growth. The reality of dwindling oil supplies is now internationally recognized, yet virtually no developed nations have a Plan B. The economic risks to individuals, companies, and countries are varied and enormous. Best-case, living standards will drop steadily worldwide. Worst-case, systemic financial crises will toss the world into jarring chaos. This book is written for those who are motivated to learn about the root causes of our predicaments, protect themselves and their families, mitigate risks as much as possible, and control what effects they can. With challenge comes opportunity, and The Crash Course offers a positive vision for how to reshape our lives to be more balanced, resilient, and sustainable.

This Time They Are Different Heterogeneity and Nonlinearity in the Relationship Between Debt and Growth

Author : Mr. Markus Eberhardt
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We study the long-run relationship between public debt and growth in a large panel of countries. Our analysis takes particular note of theoretical arguments and data considerations in modeling the debt-growth relationship as heterogeneous across countries. We investigate the issue of nonlinearities (debt thresholds) in both the cross-country and within-country dimensions, employing novel methods and diagnostics from the time-series literature adapted for use in the panel. We find some support for a nonlinear relationship between debt and long-run growth across countries, but no evidence for common debt thresholds within countries over time.

Broken Pie Chart

Author : Derek Moore
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Investment outcomes and strategies have changed considerably since 2008. Broken Pie Chart demonstrates the failures of classical diversification and asset allocation, pointing out that the backward-looking methods used by traditional financial professionals will not work moving forward.

Financial Crises Explanations Types and Implications

Author : Stijn Claessens
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This paper reviews the literature on financial crises focusing on three specific aspects. First, what are the main factors explaining financial crises? Since many theories on the sources of financial crises highlight the importance of sharp fluctuations in asset and credit markets, the paper briefly reviews theoretical and empirical studies on developments in these markets around financial crises. Second, what are the major types of financial crises? The paper focuses on the main theoretical and empirical explanations of four types of financial crises—currency crises, sudden stops, debt crises, and banking crises—and presents a survey of the literature that attempts to identify these episodes. Third, what are the real and financial sector implications of crises? The paper briefly reviews the short- and medium-run implications of crises for the real economy and financial sector. It concludes with a summary of the main lessons from the literature and future research directions.

Globaloney 2 0

Author : Michael Veseth
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Globalization is in retreat, but history tells us that this is but a temporary reversal. Globalization will return, but in what form? More cycles of boom and bust? Or can globalization be rebuilt on a more feasible and sustainable platform? These are the compelling questions that Michael Veseth tackles in this thoroughly revised and updated edition of his award-winning book. Veseth shows how pre-crash visions of globalization were based on three powerful myths: that global finance was a stable foundation for a global economy, that global markets homogenized and Americanized the world, and that globalization itself was irresistible-impossible to shape or oppose at any level from the grassroots on up. The world economic crisis has revealed globalization's Achilles heel: the fundamental instability of global financial markets and the unsettled foundation of economic globalization generally. This realization is a necessary first step, but it alone is not enough. We must rethink the rest of globalization's myths, Veseth persuasively argues, if we want to move beyond boom and bust to a sustainable global future.

New York Dexy The Capitol Taken

Author : Tapio Tiihonen
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The thriller continues. The pandemic is its worst and our business goes from Europe back to the states. The peak is the conquering the Capitol. The tension is immense and the text is written in spontaneous form, so nothing is added afterward. So ideas, opinions, and reflexes are fresh. There are no excuses. I wished so that festival shall be on the crossroad of Center République, Koenigshofen, Montagne-Verte, Meinau, Neudorf, Schluthfield, Port du Rhin, but the only performance happens in Luxembourg. We jump on the stage. Layin ́ on da Bryan? Well, if Jay-Z, Memphis Bleek, Beanie Sigel, Amil, Cam ́Ron, and Kanye West have signed to Roc-a-Fella, surely, we can do this. Meanwhile, the BEA-numbers go record high in the U.S., and opening country feeds the virus. The U.S. presidential election and the pandemic take all the attention, and at the same time, the brand new 5-G world ́s tech is melting everywhere. Our love story, business deals, straight gunrunners actions, the pandemics waves, political play, huge gatherings in the U.S., come together and everything goes to the peak of the storm. The wireless cloud system, political trash, our Rikers Island gig, Trump ́s moves among stock market benefits, huge virus case, and death numbers, good market news, everything goes to the Grande Finale. And there comes the day when hundreds of thousands of people gather in Washington D.C. And ... on Capitol Hill, one police officer made a wrong move. He said to one Arkansas someone who wore clothes from Dixie Outfitters, had Confederate Battle Flag on everything, and generally destroys our heritage: "Hey, you, how cool are you?" And the answer was, before history was made: "Pretty eff ́n cool dudie." It is very hard to come out of that chaotic swamp, but still"you are from the Bronx, and yesterday ́s inauguration noice stars Jennifer Lopez is from the Bronx, and Lady Gaga from Upper East Side (of Manhatt), so, there is nothing what we, near, deep Brklners cannot do".

The Doctrine of Odious Debt in International Law

Author : Jeff King
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According to the doctrine of odious debt, loans which are knowingly provided to subjugate or defraud the population of a debtor state are not legally binding against that state under international law. Breaking with widespread scepticism, this groundbreaking book reaffirms the original doctrine through a meticulous and definitive examination of state practice and legal history. It restates the doctrine by introducing a new classification of odious debts and defines 'odiousness' by reference to the current, much more determinate and litigated framework of existing public international law. Acknowledging that much of sovereign debt is now governed by the private law of New York and England, Jeff King explores how 'odious debts' in international law should also be regarded as contrary to public policy in private law. This book is essential reading for practising lawyers, scholars, and development and human rights workers.

The Harrowing of Doom

Author : David Annandale
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Our thrilling new line bringing new tales of Marvel’s Super Heroes and villains begins with the infamous Doctor Doom risking all to steal his heart’s desire from the very depths of Hell Notorious villain Doctor Victor von Doom has finally found a solution for his oldest obsession: rescuing his mother’s soul from the clutches of Hell. An alliance with the reclusive sage, Maria von Helm, has provided the key to Doom’s latest invention. Fusing their super-science and sorcery, Doom has created the Harrower, a device that will open a rift and wrench his mother’s soul from the netherworld. Back in the human world, however, rebel forces threaten to overrun Latveria and topple its dark leader – and revolution couldn’t come at a more dangerous time than when the gates of Hell itself have been unlocked

Money and Banks in the American Political System

Author : Kathryn C. Lavelle
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Lavelle argues that the political sources of instability in finance derive from the intersection of market innovation and regulatory arbitrage.

Crisis Economics

Author : Nouriel Roubini
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This myth shattering book reveals the methods Nouriel Roubini used to foretell the current crisis before other economists saw it coming and shows how those methods can help us make sense of the present and prepare for the future. Renowned economist Nouriel Roubini electrified his profession and the larger financial community by predicting the current crisis well in advance of anyone else. Unlike most in his profession who treat economic disasters as freakish once-in-­a-lifetime events without clear cause, Roubini, after decades of careful research around the world, realized that they were both probable and predictable. Armed with an unconventional blend of historical analysis and global economics, Roubini has forced politicians, policy makers, investors, and market watchers to face a long-neglected truth: financial systems are inherently fragile and prone to collapse. Drawing on the parallels from many countries and centuries, Nouriel Roubini and Stephen Mihm, a professor of economic history and a New York Times Magazine writer, show that financial cataclysms are as old and as ubiquitous as capitalism itself. The last two decades alone have witnessed comparable crises in countries as diverse as Mexico, Thailand, Brazil, Pakistan, and Argentina. All of these crises-not to mention the more sweeping cataclysms such as the Great Depression-have much in common with the current downturn. Bringing lessons of earlier episodes to bear on our present predicament, Roubini and Mihm show how we can recognize and grapple with the inherent instability of the global financial system, understand its pressure points, learn from previous episodes of "irrational exuberance," pinpoint the course of global contagion, and plan for our immediate future. Perhaps most important, the authors-considering theories, statistics, and mathematical models with the skepticism that recent history warrants—explain how the world's economy can get out of the mess we're in, and stay out. In Roubini's shadow, economists and investors are increasingly realizing that they can no longer afford to consider crises the black swans of financial history. A vital and timeless book, Crisis Economics proves calamities to be not only predictable but also preventable and, with the right medicine, curable.

Revolution in Higher Education

Author : Richard A. Demillo
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A report from the front lines of higher education and technology that chronicles efforts to transform teaching, learning, and opportunity. Colleges and universities have become increasingly costly, and, except for a handful of highly selective, elite institutions, unresponsive to twenty-first-century needs. But for the past few years, technology-fueled innovation has begun to transform higher education, introducing new ways to disseminate knowledge and better ways to learn—all at lower cost. In this impassioned account, Richard DeMillo tells the behind-the-scenes story of these pioneering efforts and offers a roadmap for transforming higher education. Building on his earlier book, Abelard to Apple, DeMillo argues that the current system of higher education is clearly unsustainable. Colleges and universities are in financial crisis. Tuition rises inexorably. Graduates of reputable schools often fail to learn basic skills, and many cannot find suitable jobs. Meanwhile, student-loan default rates have soared while the elite Ivy and near-Ivy schools seem remote and irrelevant. Where are the revolutionaries who can save higher education? DeMillo's heroes are a small band of innovators who are bringing the revolution in technology to colleges and universities. DeMillo chronicles, among other things, the invention of MOOCs (Massive Open Online Courses) by professors at Stanford and MIT; Salman Khan's Khan Academy; the use of technology by struggling historically black colleges and universities to make learning more accessible; and the latest research on learning and the brain. He describes the revolution's goals and the entrenched hierarchical system it aims to overthrow; and he reframes the nature of the contract between society and its universities. The new institutions of a transformed higher education promise to demonstrate not only that education has value but also that it has values—virtues for the common good.

Global Political Economy

Author : Theodore Cohn
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Praised for its authoritative coverage, Global Political Economy places the study of IPE in its broadest theoretical context. This text not only helps students understand the fundamentals of how the global economy works but also encourages them to use theory to more fully grasp the connections between key issue areas like trade and development. Written by a leading IPE scholar, Global Political Economy equally emphasizes theory and practice to provide a framework for analyzing current events and long-term developments in the global economy.

Philosophy of Time

Author : Sean Enda Power
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As a growing area of research, the philosophy of time is increasingly relevant to different areas of philosophy and even other disciplines. This book describes and evaluates the most important debates in philosophy of time, under several subject areas: metaphysics, epistemology, physics, philosophy of language, philosophy of mind, cognitive science, rationality, and art. Questions this book investigates include the following. Can we know what time really is? Is time possible, especially given modern physics? Must there be time because we cannot think without it? What do we experience of time? How might philosophy of time be relevant to understanding the mind–body relationship or evidence in cognitive science? Can the philosophy of time help us understand biases toward the future and the fear of death? How is time relevant to art—and is art relevant to philosophical debates about time? Finally, what exactly could time travel be? And could time travel satisfy emotions such as nostalgia and regret? Through asking such questions, and showing how they might be best answered, the book demonstrates the importance philosophy of time has in contemporary thought. Each of the book’s ten chapters begins with a helpful introduction and ends with study questions and an annotated list of further reading. This and a comprehensive bibliography at the end of the book prepare the reader to go further in their study of the philosophy of time.