Search results for: infinite-risk

Infinite Risk

Author : Ann Aguirre
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In a world of infinite risk, the stakes have never been so high. Beyond the pull of life and death lies the Immortal game. Edie Kramer has leaped back to put things right and save the boy she loves. Alone in the wrong timestream, she must reinvent herself and square off against dangerous Immortals determined to win this mortal match once and for all. But righting past wrongs carries fresh dangers. As she navigates a new school and tries to put Kian on a different path, she also battles those will stop at nothing to keep her from derailing their deadly schemes. With few allies and her first love treating her like a stranger, Edie faces the most dangerous enemy of all—time itself. Yet she's come a long way from that dark night on the bridge, and when her back's to the wall, she'll go down fighting... The conclusion of New York Times-bestselling author Ann Aguirre's Immortal Game trilogy is thrilling and unforgettable.

The role of learning in technology adoption Evidence on hybrid rice adoption in Bihar India

Author : Gars, Jared
File Size : 45.86 MB
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Much empirical research has shown that individuals’ decisions to adopt a new technology are the result of learning–both through personal experimentation through observing the experimentation of others. Yet even casual observation would suggest significant heterogeneity of learning processes, manifesting itself in widely varying patterns of adoption over space and time. This paper explores this heterogeneity in the context of early adoption of hybrid rice in rural India. Using specially designed experiments conducted as part of a primary survey in the field, we identify which of four broad learning heuristics most accurately reflects individuals’ information processing strategies. Linking these learning heuristics with observed use of rice hybrids, we demonstrate that pure Bayesian learning is well suited for the tinkering and marginal adjustments that are required to learn about a technology like hybrid rice, but it is also more cognitively taxing than other learning styles requiring a longer memory and more complex updating processes. Consequently, only about 25 percent of the farmers in our sample can be characterized as pure Bayesian learners. Present-biased learning and relying on first impressions will likely hinder adoption of a technology like hybrid rice, even after controlling for access to credit and a rudimentary proxy for intelligence.

Winning with Risk Management

Author : Russell Walker
File Size : 87.76 MB
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This book develops the notion that companies can succeed on the basis of risk management, much as companies compete on efficiency, costs, labor, location, and other dimensions. The reality of risk and how it impacts companies is that it is much more definite, often catastrophic and looks more like a shock. This is striking, as a difference between firms on risk different than a marginal difference in operating efficiencies, for example. Competing on Risk Management requires a discipline, a commitment to using information and recognizing shocks and then acting upon those to redistribute assets. This book will examine how leading firms that compete on risk have done this and showcase best practices and impacts to the capital structure of firms and their organizational formation. Contents:Introduction to RiskOverview of Risk DecisionsDealing With Shocks — Large Scale Risks Impacting Markets and IndustriesOperations Pose Embedded Risks to the EnterpriseReliance on Technology Increases Operational Risk — Often It Is Not ObviousDealing With Contagion and Persistence in RisksRisk Management as a Corporate CompetencyProtecting the Enterprise From Itself — Learning From History, Again Forming an Organization That Competes on Risk: Organizational ImplicationsDeveloping a Culture for Sound Risk ManagementToyota: Dealing With Crisis in a Major (Foreign) MarketCommunicating Risk Information in the EnterpriseBenefits of Competing on Risk Readership: Business professionals and students interested in the topic of risk management. Keywords:Risk Management;Risk;Financial Markets;Enterprise RiskKey Features:Best practices for dealing with operational and enterprise riskExamples of risk management as a competitive advantage for an enterpriseExamples of how risk management best practices add long term shareholder valueReviews: “Professor Walker provides an excellent perspective on risk management and its importance in corporate strategy and running a global business. I highly recommend this book to executives, board members and anyone else who truly wants to understand the key concepts of risk management.” Harry M Kraemer, Jr. Executive Partner of Madison Dearborn Partners and former Chairman and CEO of Baxter International Inc. “This book addresses risk management as a corporate competency that is important to the success of the organization and is an excellent read for executives and board members seeking to develop winning risk management strategies.” Dennis Chookaszian Former Chairman and CEO of CNA Insurance Company “The events of 2008 showed that risk was mispriced and misunderstood by many businesses. There were winners and losers. This book will help you be a winner with risk!” Donald P Jacobs Dean Emeritus of the Kellogg School of Management “In this engaging analysis of risk management, Dr. Russell Walker takes a holistic look at the competitive advantages of risk and how to approach volatility and uncertainty. Dr. Walker provides strong historical context for risk and then explores how it impacts modern business organizations in diverse ways — from operational risk in the supply chain to technological risks inherent in digital processes. Drawing from theory and practice, Dr. Walker highlights various real-world cases of risk management, including examples from the 2008 recession. Of special benefit is his focus on how top firms successfully compete on risk. Anyone seeking an accessible and rich consideration of risk will gain valuable insight from Dr. Walker's treatment of this ever-present market force.” Dipak C Jain Dean of INSEAD “Of special interest are the many relevant case studies that help the reader to identify decisions that led to catastrophe or to success. Winning with Risk Management is highly recommended for any engineer, and especially for professionals with risk analysis responsibilities.” Product Development & Management Association

Precautionary Risk Management

Author : M. Jablonowski
File Size : 83.74 MB
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Dealing with high-stakes risk potentials is dependent on getting to grips with easy to understand, yet difficult to apply, criteria for decision. With a fresh, honest approach, this book shows why scientific assessments of catastrophic risk based on averages don't work, and sets the stage for making the tough choice between precaution and fatalism.

Advances and Challenges in Critical Care an Issue of Clinics in Chest Medicine

Author : Shyoko Honiden
File Size : 89.78 MB
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Drs. Honiden and Siner have put together a comprehensive issue on Critical Care as it relates to Chest Medicine. Articles include: Recent advances in management of Acute respiratory distress syndrome, Simulation training for critical care, Telemedicine (E-ICU issues), Adverse event reporting/quality improvement in the ICU, ICU Mobility, Hospital-acquired infections/resistant organisms/emerging pathogens, Circadian rhythm disturbance and sleep in the ICU environment, Advances in Sepsis Research, Controversies in ICU nutrition, and more

A Probability Metrics Approach to Financial Risk Measures

Author : Svetlozar T. Rachev
File Size : 72.64 MB
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A Probability Metrics Approach to Financial Risk Measures relates the field of probability metrics and risk measures to one another and applies them to finance for the first time. Helps to answer the question: which risk measure is best for a given problem? Finds new relations between existing classes of risk measures Describes applications in finance and extends them where possible Presents the theory of probability metrics in a more accessible form which would be appropriate for non-specialists in the field Applications include optimal portfolio choice, risk theory, and numerical methods in finance Topics requiring more mathematical rigor and detail are included in technical appendices to chapters

Worst Case Scenarios

Author : Cass R Sunstein
File Size : 86.16 MB
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Nuclear bombs in suitcases, anthrax bacilli in ventilators, tsunamis and meteors, avian flu, scorchingly hot temperatures: nightmares that were once the plot of Hollywood movies are now frighteningly real possibilities. Sunstein explores these and other worst-case scenarios and how we might best prevent them in this vivid, illuminating, and highly original analysis.

Managing the Risks of IT Outsourcing

Author : Ian Tho
File Size : 86.80 MB
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This book shows IT managers how to identify, mitigate and manage risks in an IT outsourcing exercise. The book explores current trends and highlights key issues and changes that are taking place within outsourcing. Attention is given to identifying the drivers and related risks of outsourcing by examining recently published and existing concepts of IT outsourcing. Founded on academic theory and empirical and quantitative information, this book: * Incorporates the complete risk identification and mitigation life cycle * Highlights the concept of core competency * Looks at motivating factors and working relationships of the buyer and supplier * Provides background to understand the risks as a result of ‘human factors’ as defined by the agency theory * Reviews the areas of risk that influence the decision to outsource the IT function * Examines the forces that determine the equilibrium in the risk profiles for the buyer and supplier

Nuclear Madness

Author : Ira Chernus
File Size : 35.67 MB
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This book builds on Robert Jay Lifton's theory of psychic numbing, and takes madness as a guiding metaphor. It shows that public perceptions of the Bomb are a kaleidoscope of ever-changing ideas and images. Recent changes in public awareness only signal new symptoms of this public madness, symptoms unwittingly fostered by the antinuclear movement. Since the newest nuclear images follow the same psychological pattern as their predecessors, they are likely to lead us deeper into nuclear madness. Chernus offers new interpretations of four major theorists int the psychology of religion--Paul Tillich, R.D. Laing, Mircea Eliade, and James Hillman--to trace the roots of nuclear madness back to the onset of modernity, when the West gained technological mastery at the price of losing religious imagination and ontological security. The author develops an interpretation of Lifton's own thought as an ontological and religious psychology. Drawing on the work of Eliade and Hillman, he goes on to suggest that madness reflects a repressed desire to transform life by opening up the floodgates of imagination. A conscious cultivation of the play of imagination can lead the way through madness to sanity and peace. But, imagination can only respond to the nuclear threat if it is acted out in a new brand of peace activism that blends pragmatic politics with psychological and religious transformation.

Nonlinear Valuation and Non Gaussian Risks in Finance

Author : Dilip B. Madan
File Size : 43.46 MB
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Explore how market valuation must abandon linearity to deliver efficient resource allocation.