The Art of Thinking Clearly

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Author: Rolf Dobelli

Publisher: Harper Collins

ISBN: 0062219707

Category: Psychology

Page: 384

View: 6189

Have you ever . . . Invested time in something that, in hindsight, just wasn't worth it? Paid too much in an eBay auction? Continued to do something you knew was bad for you? Sold stocks too late, or too early? Taken credit for success, but blamed failure on external circumstances? Backed the wrong horse? These are examples of what the author calls cognitive biases, simple errors all of us make in day-to-day thinking. But by knowing what they are and how to identify them, we can avoid them and make better choices: whether in dealing with personal problems or business negotiations, trying to save money or earn profits, or merely working out what we really want in life—and strategizing the best way to get it. Already an international bestseller, The Art of Thinking Clearly distills cutting-edge research from behavioral economics, psychology, and neuroscience into a clever, practical guide for anyone who's ever wanted to be wiser and make better decisions. A novelist, thinker, and entrepreneur, Rolf Dobelli deftly shows that in order to lead happier, more prosperous lives, we don't need extra cunning, new ideas, shiny gadgets, or more frantic hyperactivity—all we need is less irrationality. Simple, clear, and always surprising, this indispensable book will change the way you think and transform your decision making—at work, at home, every day. From why you shouldn't accept a free drink to why you should walk out of a movie you don't like, from why it's so hard to predict the future to why you shouldn't watch the news, The Art of Thinking Clearly helps solve the puzzle of human reasoning.

Leveraging Flexibility

Win the Race with Dynamic Decision Management

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Author: Jochen Gerber,Hanjo Arms,Mathias Wiecher,Christian Danner

Publisher: Springer

ISBN: 3642543626

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 144

View: 3500

What is the probability of your operations achieving the desired profitability? What role does flexibility play in your business plans? Have you ever considered its value in concrete terms? Being able to react to the unexpected by taking a strategic change of course can prove to be the salvation of a company and its leaders. Flexibility, risk, probability and their interrelated value are the key components of Dynamic Decision Management (DDM), a breakthrough approach to validating your decision making process and ensuring the desired results. Using the DDM approach, the well-known and widely accepted complex methods involving scenario building become obsolete. Why? Because DDM does the unthinkable: It integrates the influence of uncertainty and entrepreneurial flexibility in the strategic decision making process and does so with precision.

The Energy Challenge

A Licence for Navigating the Future

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Author: Heiko von der Gracht,Michael Salcher,Nikolaus Graf Kerssenbrock

Publisher: Redline Wirtschaft

ISBN: 386414888X

Category: Science

Page: 240

View: 7550

Be future-proof with the energy licence! Making the economy and society fit for the future begs the question: how will the energy needs of tomorrow be met? What measures need to be implemented by companies and communities today in order to be future-proof tomorrow? Current developments like power line conflicts, the phase-out of nuclear energy and meeting growing supply expectations demonstrate that, to solve this strategic challenge, decision-makers from business, politics and the wider community have to develop new sets of skills and foresight competencies. In this book, the authors set out the possible scenarios, their consequences and the essential factors for securing tomorrow's energy supply. They also provide the information needed by readers to earn their 'energy licence'. It's a licence designed to qualify the holder to recognise key developments, trends and options for the energy future, and to take the necessary action within their own organisations.

Strategy development in humanitarian NGO positioning and the rise of FCOs

Understanding Fundraising Campaign Organizations

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Author: Julian J. Rossig

Publisher: BoD – Books on Demand

ISBN: 3741252808

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 284

View: 8713

As competition over donations for humanitarian aid projects intensifies, traditional German NGOs come under additional pressure from an unlikely side: A new breed of aggressively expanding market entrants monopolizes distribution channels, thus obtaining a significant market share. Lacking any own aid projects, however, these organizations distribute the raised donations to traditional NGOs. This unusual set-up leaves NGO executives searching for a strategic response: While the new competitor’s funding is clearly a welcome treat, the competitive aspect is much less pleasing. This study revisits contemporary approaches to positioning strategy formulation, deducing a systematization of fundraising campaign organizations (FCOs) and offering helpful recommendations for NGO executives.

Human Behavior in Hazardous Situations

Best Practice Safety Management in the Chemical and Process Industries

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Author: Jan M T Daalmans

Publisher: Butterworth-Heinemann

ISBN: 0124072224

Category: Technology & Engineering

Page: 214

View: 2451

Human Behavior in Hazardous Situations introduces a new generation within safety management, fully developed with neuropsychological insights, developed in collaboration with, and put to test by, the chemical and process industries. Until now, there has been little theoretical framework on how, and especially why, people behave the way they do in hazardous situations. Human Behavior in Hazardous Situations presents new theories, based on a human behavioral approach, to offer a fresh perspective on safety management. By way of case studies, practical tips and exercises, Dr Jan Daalmans demonstrates how this neuropsychological approach can be applied for those safety managers working in the Chemical, Process and Pharmaceutical industries. Presents new brain-based approaches to safety, with a historical perspective on the evolution of the safety management. Practical tips and guidance for those working in the chemical and process industries. Including exercises and case studies to demonstrate the practical application of techniques.

Lives on the move

long-distance commuting in the Northern Russian petroleum industry

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Author: Gertrude Saxinger

Publisher: Böhlau Verlag Wien

ISBN: 3205796942

Category: Social Science

Page: 206

View: 9555

Nahezu unbekannt sind der Öffentlichkeit die Lebensweisen jener ArbeiterInnen, die das „schwarze und blaue Gold“ für den Export nach Europa fördern. Sie sind fahrende und fliegende Menschen, die zyklisch für Wochen oder Monate in den Fördergebieten leben und arbeiten, um wieder für eine Weile zu ihren Familien heimzukehren. Das Buch führt kurzweilig von der Wolgaregion in das subarktische Sibirien. Die Autorin begleitet fernpendelnde Menschen über Tausende von Kilometern. Sie erzählt vom Leben in der sogenannten „Russischen Erdgashauptstadt“ Novy Urengoy, das sich zwischen Erinnerungen an die Sowjetunion und staatsnahen sowie neoliberalen Wirtschaftspraktiken abspielt. Diese faszinierende Ethnographie gibt einen kritischen Einblick in die russische Petroleumindustrie.