MARKET MODELS: A GUIDE TO FINANCIAL DATA ANALYSIS (With CD )

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Author: Carol Alexander

Publisher: N.A

ISBN: 9788126523702

Category:

Page: 516

View: 7202

Market_Desc: Primarily this book has been written for financial institutions (investment banks, asset management companies, investment analysis personnel, corporate treasuries, insurance companies, pension funds, risk management companies/consultants and regulatory bodies.) Special Features: "The author uses an applications-based approach."Includes the latest developments in VaR. About The Book: Models play a crucial role in today's financial markets and an understanding and appreciation of how to model financial data is key to any finance practitioner's skill set. Model developers are faced with many decisions, about the data, methodology, model specification and testing, prior to the final model implementation. This is costly and how many media reports in recent years have highlighted the mismanagement of such resources! It is crucial to make the right choices at every stage of model development. But this is as much an 'art' as a 'science'. The talented interpretation of results is just as critical for success as the mathematical foundation. This new book is the first of its kind. As well as providing numerous real world examples to illustrate concepts in an accessible manner, the accompanying CD will allow the reader to implement the examples themselves and adapt them for their own purposes. Professor Carol Alexander, Chair of Risk Management at the ISMA Centre and one of the best known names in financial data analysis, provides an authoritative and up-to-date treatment of model development. She brings many new insights to the practicalities of volatility and correlation analysis, modelling the market risk of portfolios and statistical models. New models that are based on cointegration, principal component analysis, normal mixture densities, GARCH and many other areas are elegantly and rigorously explained, with an emphasis on concepts that makes this text accessible to a very wide audience. The book is also designed to be self contained, with many technical appendices. Market Models is the ideal reference for all those involved in model selection and development

Strategic Analysis Of Financial Markets, The (In 2 Volumes)

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Author: Moffitt Steven D

Publisher: World Scientific Publishing Company

ISBN: 9813143770

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 1120

View: 7527

Volume 1 of "The Strategic Analysis of Financial Markets," — Framework, is premised on the belief that markets can be understood only by dropping the assumptions of rationality and efficient markets in their extreme forms, and showing that markets still have an inherent order and inherent logic. But that order results primarily from the "predictable irrationality" of investors, as well as from people's uncoordinated attempts to profit. The market patterns that result do not rely on rationality or efficiency. A framework is developed for understanding financial markets using a combination of psychology, statistics, game and gambling analysis, market history and the author's experience. It expresses analytically how professional investors and traders think about markets — as games in which other participants employ inferior, partially predictable strategies. Those strategies' interactions can be toxic and lead to booms, bubbles, busts and crashes, or can be less dramatic, leading to various patterns that are mistakenly called "market inefficiencies" and "stylized facts." A logical case is constructed, starting from two foundations, the psychology of human decision making and the "Fundamental Laws of Gambling." Applying the Fundamental Laws to trading leads to the idea of "gambling rationality" (grationality), replacing the efficient market's concept of "rationality." By classifying things that are likely to have semi-predictable price impacts (price "distorters"), one can identify, explore through data analysis, and create winning trading ideas and systems. A structured way of doing all this is proposed: the six-step "Strategic Analysis of Market Method." Examples are given in this and Volume 2. Volume 2 of "The Strategic Analysis of Financial Markets" — Trading System Analytics, continues the development of Volume 1 by introducing tools and techniques for developing trading systems and by illustrating them using real markets. The difference between these two Volumes and the rest of the literature is its rigor. It describes trading as a form of gambling that when properly executed, is quite logical, and is well known to professional gamblers and analytical traders. But even those elites might be surprised at the extent to which quantitative methods have been justified and applied, including a life cycle theory of trading systems. Apart from a few sections that develop background material, Volume 2 creates from scratch a trading system for Eurodollar futures using principles of the Strategic Analysis of Markets Method (SAMM), a principled, step-by-step approach to developing profitable trading systems. It has an entire Chapter on mechanical methods for testing and improvement of trading systems, which transcends the rather unstructured and unsatisfactory "backtesting" literature. It presents a breakout trend following system developed using factor models. It also presents a specific pairs trading system, and discusses its life cycle from an early, highly profitable period to its eventual demise. Recent developments in momentum trading and suggestions on improvements are also discussed.

Market Risk Analysis, Practical Financial Econometrics

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Author: Carol Alexander

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

ISBN: 0470771038

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 426

View: 8713

Written by leading market risk academic, Professor Carol Alexander, Practical Financial Econometrics forms part two of the Market Risk Analysis four volume set. It introduces the econometric techniques that are commonly applied to finance with a critical and selective exposition, emphasising the areas of econometrics, such as GARCH, cointegration and copulas that are required for resolving problems in market risk analysis. The book covers material for a one-semester graduate course in applied financial econometrics in a very pedagogical fashion as each time a concept is introduced an empirical example is given, and whenever possible this is illustrated with an Excel spreadsheet. All together, the Market Risk Analysis four volume set illustrates virtually every concept or formula with a practical, numerical example or a longer, empirical case study. Across all four volumes there are approximately 300 numerical and empirical examples, 400 graphs and figures and 30 case studies many of which are contained in interactive Excel spreadsheets available from the the accompanying CD-ROM . Empirical examples and case studies specific to this volume include: Factor analysis with orthogonal regressions and using principal component factors; Estimation of symmetric and asymmetric, normal and Student t GARCH and E-GARCH parameters; Normal, Student t, Gumbel, Clayton, normal mixture copula densities, and simulations from these copulas with application to VaR and portfolio optimization; Principal component analysis of yield curves with applications to portfolio immunization and asset/liability management; Simulation of normal mixture and Markov switching GARCH returns; Cointegration based index tracking and pairs trading, with error correction and impulse response modelling; Markov switching regression models (Eviews code); GARCH term structure forecasting with volatility targeting; Non-linear quantile regressions with applications to hedging.

Market Risk Analysis, Quantitative Methods in Finance

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Author: Carol Alexander

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

ISBN: 047077102X

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 318

View: 2538

Written by leading market risk academic, Professor Carol Alexander, Quantitative Methods in Finance forms part one of the Market Risk Analysis four volume set. Starting from the basics, this book helps readers to take the first step towards becoming a properly qualified financial risk manager and asset manager, roles that are currently in huge demand. Accessible to intelligent readers with a moderate understanding of mathematics at high school level or to anyone with a university degree in mathematics, physics or engineering, no prior knowledge of finance is necessary. Instead the emphasis is on understanding ideas rather than on mathematical rigour, meaning that this book offers a fast-track introduction to financial analysis for readers with some quantitative background, highlighting those areas of mathematics that are particularly relevant to solving problems in financial risk management and asset management. Unique to this book is a focus on both continuous and discrete time finance so that Quantitative Methods in Finance is not only about the application of mathematics to finance; it also explains, in very pedagogical terms, how the continuous time and discrete time finance disciplines meet, providing a comprehensive, highly accessible guide which will provide readers with the tools to start applying their knowledge immediately. All together, the Market Risk Analysis four volume set illustrates virtually every concept or formula with a practical, numerical example or a longer, empirical case study. Across all four volumes there are approximately 300 numerical and empirical examples, 400 graphs and figures and 30 case studies many of which are contained in interactive Excel spreadsheets available from the accompanying CD-ROM . Empirical examples and case studies specific to this volume include: Principal component analysis of European equity indices; Calibration of Student t distribution by maximum likelihood; Orthogonal regression and estimation of equity factor models; Simulations of geometric Brownian motion, and of correlated Student t variables; Pricing European and American options with binomial trees, and European options with the Black-Scholes-Merton formula; Cubic spline fitting of yields curves and implied volatilities; Solution of Markowitz problem with no short sales and other constraints; Calculation of risk adjusted performance metrics including generalised Sharpe ratio, omega and kappa indices.

Market Risk Analysis, Value at Risk Models

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Author: Carol Alexander

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

ISBN: 047074507X

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 492

View: 4955

Written by leading market risk academic, Professor Carol Alexander, Value-at-Risk Models forms part four of the Market Risk Analysis four volume set. Building on the three previous volumes this book provides by far the most comprehensive, rigorous and detailed treatment of market VaR models. It rests on the basic knowledge of financial mathematics and statistics gained from Volume I, of factor models, principal component analysis, statistical models of volatility and correlation and copulas from Volume II and, from Volume III, knowledge of pricing and hedging financial instruments and of mapping portfolios of similar instruments to risk factors. A unifying characteristic of the series is the pedagogical approach to practical examples that are relevant to market risk analysis in practice. All together, the Market Risk Analysis four volume set illustrates virtually every concept or formula with a practical, numerical example or a longer, empirical case study. Across all four volumes there are approximately 300 numerical and empirical examples, 400 graphs and figures and 30 case studies many of which are contained in interactive Excel spreadsheets available from the the accompanying CD-ROM . Empirical examples and case studies specific to this volume include: Parametric linear value at risk (VaR)models: normal, Student t and normal mixture and their expected tail loss (ETL); New formulae for VaR based on autocorrelated returns; Historical simulation VaR models: how to scale historical VaR and volatility adjusted historical VaR; Monte Carlo simulation VaR models based on multivariate normal and Student t distributions, and based on copulas; Examples and case studies of numerous applications to interest rate sensitive, equity, commodity and international portfolios; Decomposition of systematic VaR of large portfolios into standard alone and marginal VaR components; Backtesting and the assessment of risk model risk; Hypothetical factor push and historical stress tests, and stress testing based on VaR and ETL.

International Business Information

How to Find It, How to Use It

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Author: Ruth A. Pagell,Michael Halperin

Publisher: Global Professional Publishi

ISBN: 9781888998832

Category: Business

Page: 450

View: 4186

� The first such guide � It isn't enough to rely on local or even national knowledge bases any more "The emerging global economy," "transnational corporation," "the world marketplace"--these phases will define the business environment in the twenty-first century. And here is how it works: A sports car is financed in Japan, designed in Italy, and assembled in Indiana, Mexico, and France, using advanced electronic components invented in New Jersey and manufactured in Korea. Hard to believe? Think about all the cross-border mergers and partnerships created in the last few years alone! Changes in the economy required business professionals and researchers to learn about new sources of information, as well as to expand their understanding of international business subjects. The sources, language, document coding, and definitions are different--truly foreign. International Business Information was written to help business professionals find and use the latest and best business information, regardless of source of origin. Among other subjects covered: Key international business publications; important new databases; Company information sources; international accounting standards and practices; international marketing resources; disclosure requirements for major stock exchanges; export/import sources and information; and industrial and economic statistics.

Market Risk Analysis, Pricing, Hedging and Trading Financial Instruments

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Author: Carol Alexander

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

ISBN: 0470772816

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 416

View: 4246

Written by leading market risk academic, Professor Carol Alexander, Pricing, Hedging and Trading Financial Instruments forms part three of the Market Risk Analysis four volume set. This book is an in-depth, practical and accessible guide to the models that are used for pricing and the strategies that are used for hedging financial instruments, and to the markets in which they trade. It provides a comprehensive, rigorous and accessible introduction to bonds, swaps, futures and forwards and options, including variance swaps, volatility indices and their futures and options, to stochastic volatility models and to modelling the implied and local volatility surfaces. All together, the Market Risk Analysis four volume set illustrates virtually every concept or formula with a practical, numerical example or a longer, empirical case study. Across all four volumes there are approximately 300 numerical and empirical examples, 400 graphs and figures and 30 case studies many of which are contained in interactive Excel spreadsheets available from the the accompanying CD-ROM . Empirical examples and case studies specific to this volume include: Duration-Convexity approximation to bond portfolios, and portfolio immunization; Pricing floaters and vanilla, basis and variance swaps; Coupon stripping and yield curve fitting; Proxy hedging, and hedging international securities and energy futures portfolios; Pricing models for European exotics, including barriers, Asians, look-backs, choosers, capped, contingent, power, quanto, compo, exchange, ‘best-of’ and spread options; Libor model calibration; Dynamic models for implied volatility based on principal component analysis; Calibration of stochastic volatility models (Matlab code); Simulations from stochastic volatility and jump models; Duration, PV01 and volatility invariant cash flow mappings; Delta-gamma-theta-vega mappings for options portfolios; Volatility beta mapping to volatility indices.

Mastering Risk Modelling

A Practical Guide to Modelling Uncertainty with Excel

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Author: Alastair L. Day

Publisher: Financial Times/Prentice Hall

ISBN: 9780273659785

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 399

View: 6251

Risk modeling is now a core skill for successful managers inside and outside finance. Alastair Day's "Mastering Risk Modelling" shows managers exactly how to build Excel-based models for identifying, quantifying and managing risk--models that provide clear, accurate decision-making guidance that can be used with confidence throughout the enterprise. An ideal follow-up to Day's bestselling "Mastering Financial Modelling," the book brings together risk modeling theory and practice more effectively than ever before. Day presents extensive tips and methods for developing Excel-based risk applications--including practical guidance on designing models and layering complexity on top of basic models. His series of Excel templates will jumpstart your own modeling, eliminate the need to start from scratch, and provide powerful insights for improving any model. All models are provided on an accompanying CD-ROM.

Market Risk Analysis, Pricing, Hedging and Trading Financial Instruments

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Author: Carol Alexander

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

ISBN: 9780470997895

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 416

View: 8440

Written by leading market risk academic, Professor Carol Alexander, Pricing, Hedging and Trading Financial Instruments forms part three of the Market Risk Analysis four volume set. This book is an in-depth, practical and accessible guide to the models that are used for pricing and the strategies that are used for hedging financial instruments, and to the markets in which they trade. It provides a comprehensive, rigorous and accessible introduction to bonds, swaps, futures and forwards and options, including variance swaps, volatility indices and their futures and options, to stochastic volatility models and to modelling the implied and local volatility surfaces. All together, the MARKET RISK ANALYSIS four volume set illustrates virtually every concept or formula with a practical, numerical example or a longer, empirical case study. Across all four volumes there are approximately 300 numerical and empirical examples, 400 graphs and figures 30 case studies many of which are contained in interactive Excel spreadsheets available from the accompanying CD-ROM. In this volume alone there are over 200 spreadsheets in 25 workbooks. Here are just some of he illustrative empirical examples and case studies in this volume: Duration-Convexity approximation to bond portfolios, and portfolio immunization; Pricing floaters and vanilla, basis and variance swaps; Coupon stripping and yield curve fitting; Proxy hedging, and hedging international securities and energy futures portfolios; Pricing models for European exotics, including barriers, Asians, look-backs, choosers, capped, contingent, power, quanto, compo, exchange, ‘best-of’ and spread options; Libor model calibration; Dynamic models for implied volatility based on principal component analysis; Calibration of stochastic volatility models (Matlab code); Simulations from stochastic volatility and jump models; Duration, PV01 and volatility invariant cash flow mappings; Delta-gamma-theta-vega mappings for options portfolios; Volatility beta mapping to volatility indices.

Microsoft® Excel Data Analysis and Business Modeling

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Author: Wayne L. Winston

Publisher: "O'Reilly Media, Inc."

ISBN: 0735637148

Category: Computers

Page: 624

View: 3266

Master the techniques that business analysts at leading companies use to transform data into bottom-line results. For more than a decade, well-known consultant and business professor Wayne Winston has been teaching corporate clients and MBA students the most effective ways to use Microsoft Excel for data analysis, modeling, and decision making. Now this award-winning educator shares the best of his classroom experience in this practical, business-focused guide. Each chapter advances your data analysis and modeling expertise using real-world examples and learn-by-doing exercises. You also get all the book’s problem-and-solution files on CD—for all the practice you need to solve complex problems and work smarter with Excel. Learn how to solve real business problems with Excel! Create best, worst, and most-likely scenarios for sales Calculate how long it would take to recoup a project’s startup costs Plan personal finances, such as computing loan terms or saving for retirement Estimate a product’s demand curve Simulate stock performance over a year Determine which product mix will yield the greatest profits Interpret the effects of price and advertising on sales Assign a dollar value to customer loyalty Manage inventory and order quantities with precision Create customer service queues with short wait times Estimate the probabilities of equipment failure Model business uncertainties Get new perspectives on data with PivotTable dynamic views Help predict quarterly revenue, outcomes of sporting events, presidential elections, and more! On the CD: Practice files for all the book’s exercises Solutions for problem sets Fully searchable eBook A Note Regarding the CD or DVD The print version of this book ships with a CD or DVD. For those customers purchasing one of the digital formats in which this book is available, we are pleased to offer the CD/DVD content as a free download via O'Reilly Media's Digital Distribution services. To download this content, please visit O'Reilly's web site, search for the title of this book to find its catalog page, and click on the link below the cover image (Examples, Companion Content, or Practice Files). Note that while we provide as much of the media content as we are able via free download, we are sometimes limited by licensing restrictions. Please direct any questions or concerns to [email protected]

Modeling Derivatives in C++

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Author: Justin London

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

ISBN: 047168189X

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 840

View: 2421

This book is the definitive and most comprehensive guide to modeling derivatives in C++ today. Providing readers with not only the theory and math behind the models, as well as the fundamental concepts of financial engineering, but also actual robust object-oriented C++ code, this is a practical introduction to the most important derivative models used in practice today, including equity (standard and exotics including barrier, lookback, and Asian) and fixed income (bonds, caps, swaptions, swaps, credit) derivatives. The book provides complete C++ implementations for many of the most important derivatives and interest rate pricing models used on Wall Street including Hull-White, BDT, CIR, HJM, and LIBOR Market Model. London illustrates the practical and efficient implementations of these models in real-world situations and discusses the mathematical underpinnings and derivation of the models in a detailed yet accessible manner illustrated by many examples with numerical data as well as real market data. A companion CD contains quantitative libraries, tools, applications, and resources that will be of value to those doing quantitative programming and analysis in C++. Filled with practical advice and helpful tools, Modeling Derivatives in C++ will help readers succeed in understanding and implementing C++ when modeling all types of derivatives.

Modeling Structured Finance Cash Flows with Microsoft Excel

A Step-by-Step Guide

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Author: Keith A. Allman

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

ISBN: 9781118044667

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 199

View: 8682

A practical guide to building fully operational financial cash flow models for structured finance transactions Structured finance and securitization deals are becoming more commonplace on Wall Street. Up until now, however, market participants have had to create their own models to analyze these deals, and new entrants have had to learn as they go. Modeling Structured Finance Cash Flows with Microsoft Excel provides readers with the information they need to build a cash flow model for structured finance and securitization deals. Financial professional Keith Allman explains individual functions and formulas, while also explaining the theory behind the spreadsheets. Each chapter begins with a discussion of theory, followed by a section called "Model Builder," in which Allman translates the theory into functions and formulas. In addition, the companion website features all of the modeling exercises, as well as a final version of the model that is created in the text. Note: Companion website and other supplementary materials are not included as part of eBook file.

Option Pricing and Estimation of Financial Models with R

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Author: Stefano M. Iacus

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

ISBN: 9781119990208

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 472

View: 333

Presents inference and simulation of stochastic process in the field of model calibration for financial times series modelled by continuous time processes and numerical option pricing. Introduces the bases of probability theory and goes on to explain how to model financial times series with continuous models, how to calibrate them from discrete data and further covers option pricing with one or more underlying assets based on these models. Analysis and implementation of models goes beyond the standard Black and Scholes framework and includes Markov switching models, Lévy models and other models with jumps (e.g. the telegraph process); Topics other than option pricing include: volatility and covariation estimation, change point analysis, asymptotic expansion and classification of financial time series from a statistical viewpoint. The book features problems with solutions and examples. All the examples and R code are available as an additional R package, therefore all the examples can be reproduced.

Financial Modeling

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Author: Sebastian Prexl,Michael Bloss,Dietmar Ernst,Christoph Haas,Joachim Häcker,Bernhard Röck

Publisher: N.A

ISBN: 9783791035413

Category:

Page: 640

View: 2676

Corporate Valuation Modeling

A Step-by-Step Guide

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Author: Keith A. Allman

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

ISBN: 9780470579374

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 304

View: 2740

A critical guide to corporate valuation modeling Valuation is at the heart of everything that Wall Street does. Every day, millions of transactions to purchase or sell companies take place based on prices created by the activities of all market participants. In this book, author Keith Allman provides you with a core model to value companies. Corporate Valuation Modeling takes you step-by-step through the process of creating a powerful corporate valuation model. Each chapter skillfully discusses the theory of the concept, followed by Model Builder instructions that inform you of every step necessary to create the template model. Many chapters also include a validation section that shows techniques and implementations that you can employ to make sure the model is working properly. Walks you through the full process of constructing a fully dynamic corporate valuation model A Tool Box section at the end of each chapter assists readers who may be less skilled in Excel techniques and functions Complete with a companion CD-ROM that contains constructed models, this book is an essential guide to understanding the intricacies of corporate valuation modeling. Note: CD-ROM/DVD and other supplementary materials are not included as part of eBook file.

Bibliographic Index

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Author: N.A

Publisher: N.A

ISBN: N.A

Category: Bibliographical literature

Page: 26

View: 3345

Choice

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Author: N.A

Publisher: N.A

ISBN: N.A

Category: Academic libraries

Page: N.A

View: 5546

Die 4-Stunden-Woche

Mehr Zeit, mehr Geld, mehr Leben

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Author: Timothy Ferriss

Publisher: Ullstein eBooks

ISBN: 3843704457

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 352

View: 2276

Warum arbeiten wir uns eigentlich zu Tode? Haben wir nichts Besseres zu tun? Und ob! - sagt Timothy Ferriss. Der junge Unternehmer war lange Workaholic mit 80-Stunden-Woche. Doch dann erfand er MBA- Management by Absence- und ist seitdem freier, reicher, glücklicher. Mit viel Humor, provokanten Denkanstößen und erprobten Tipps erklärt Ferriss, wie sich die 4-Stunden-Woche bei vollem Lohnausgleich verwirklichen lässt. Der Wegweiser für eine Flucht aus dem Hamsterrad und ein Manifest für eine neue Gewichtung zwischen Leben und Arbeiten.

Risk

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Author: N.A

Publisher: N.A

ISBN: N.A

Category: Risk management

Page: N.A

View: 9884