Chancing It

The Laws of Chance and How They Can Work for You

DOWNLOAD NOW »

Author: Robert Matthews

Publisher: Skyhorse Publishing Inc.

ISBN: 1510723811

Category: Mathematics

Page: 304

View: 1403

Make your own luck by understanding probability Over the years, some very smart people have thought they understood the rules of chance?only to fail dismally. Whether you call it probability, risk, or uncertainty, the workings of chance often defy common sense. Fortunately, advances in math and science have revealed the laws of chance, and understanding those laws can help in your everyday life. In Chancing It, award-winning scientist and writer Robert Matthews shows how to understand the laws of probability and use them to your advantage. He gives you access to some of the most potent intellectual tools ever developed and explains how to use them to guide your judgments and decisions. By the end of the book, you will know: How to understand and even predict coincidences When an insurance policy is worth having Why “expert” predictions are often misleading How to tell when a scientific claim is a breakthrough or baloney When it makes sense to place a bet on anything from sports to stock markets A groundbreaking introduction to the power of probability, Chancing It will sharpen your decision-making and maximize your luck.

Chancing It

The Laws of Chance and How They Can Work for You

DOWNLOAD NOW »

Author: Robert Matthews

Publisher: Profile Books

ISBN: 1847658628

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 211

View: 6052

Everyone who's had to get to grips with chance knows how tricky even its simplest manifestations can be. Its workings are a constant challenge to common sense: a run of luck goes bad just when you trust it; expert predictions of everything from the weather to elections prove hopelessly unreliable; proven health advice turns out to be anything but. Award-winning scientist and writer Robert Matthews shows us how we can cut through the conundrums of chance. He gives us access to some of the most potent intellectual tools ever developed, and explains how we can use them to guide our judgements and decisions. By the end of the book you'll know: -The secret to predicting coincidences; -The golden rule of professional gamblers; -How to tell when insurance is a waste of money; -When to heed health and diet warnings - and when to ignore them; -How to tell when forecasts are worth taking seriously; -How to make better choices in the face of uncertainty. Using a host of real-life examples, this groundbreaking book shows how the laws of probability can sharpen your decisions, make the most of your luck - and quite possibly transform your life.

Chancing It

The Laws of Chance ¿ and how They Can Work for You

DOWNLOAD NOW »

Author: Robert Matthews

Publisher: N.A

ISBN: 9781781250310

Category:

Page: 304

View: 2364

Everyone who's had to get to grips with chance knows how tricky even its simplest manifestations can be. Its workings are a constant challenge to common sense: a run of luck goes bad just when you trust it; expert predictions of everything from the weather to elections prove hopelessly unreliable; proven health advice turns out to be anything but.Award-winning scientist and writer Robert Matthews shows us how we can cut through the conundrums of chance. He gives us access to some of the most potent intellectual tools ever developed, and explains how we can use them to guide our judgements and decisions. By the end of the book you'll know:-The secret to predicting coincidences;-The golden rule of professional gamblers;-How to tell when insurance is a waste of money;-When to heed health and diet warnings - and when to ignore them;-How to tell when forecasts are worth taking seriously;-How to make better choices in the face of uncertainty.Using a host of real-life examples, this groundbreaking book shows how the laws of probability can sharpen your decisions, make the most of your luck - and quite possibly transform your life.

Chance Rules

An Informal Guide to Probability, Risk and Statistics

DOWNLOAD NOW »

Author: Brian Everitt

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

ISBN: 9780387774152

Category: Mathematics

Page: 142

View: 4871

Chance continues to govern our lives in the 21st Century. From the genes we inherit and the environment into which we are born, to the lottery ticket we buy at the local store, much of life is a gamble. In business, education, travel, health, and marriage, we take chances in the hope of obtaining something better. Chance colors our lives with uncertainty, and so it is important to examine it and try to understand about how it operates in a number of different circumstances. Such understanding becomes simpler if we take some time to learn a little about probability, since probability is the natural language of uncertainty. This second edition of Chance Rules again recounts the story of chance through history and the various ways it impacts on our lives. Here you can read about the earliest gamblers who thought that the fall of the dice was controlled by the gods, as well as the modern geneticist and quantum theory researcher trying to integrate aspects of probability into their chosen speciality. Example included in the first addition such as the infamous Monty Hall problem, tossing coins, coincidences, horse racing, birthdays and babies remain, often with an expanded discussion, in this edition. Additional material in the second edition includes, a probabilistic explanation of why things were better when you were younger, consideration of whether you can use probability to prove the existence of God, how long you may have to wait to win the lottery, some court room dramas, predicting the future, and how evolution scores over creationism. Chance Rules lets you learn about probability without complex mathematics.

The Money Formula

Dodgy Finance, Pseudo Science, and How Mathematicians Took Over the Markets

DOWNLOAD NOW »

Author: Paul Wilmott,David Orrell

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

ISBN: 1119358612

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 264

View: 6271

Explore the deadly elegance of finance's hidden powerhouse The Money Formula takes you inside the engine room of the global economy to explore the little-understood world of quantitative finance, and show how the future of our economy rests on the backs of this all-but-impenetrable industry. Written not from a post-crisis perspective – but from a preventative point of view – this book traces the development of financial derivatives from bonds to credit default swaps, and shows how mathematical formulas went beyond pricing to expand their use to the point where they dwarfed the real economy. You'll learn how the deadly allure of their ice-cold beauty has misled generations of economists and investors, and how continued reliance on these formulas can either assist future economic development, or send the global economy into the financial equivalent of a cardiac arrest. Rather than rehash tales of post-crisis fallout, this book focuses on preventing the next one. By exploring the heart of the shadow economy, you'll be better prepared to ride the rough waves of finance into the turbulent future. Delve into one of the world's least-understood but highest-impact industries Understand the key principles of quantitative finance and the evolution of the field Learn what quantitative finance has become, and how it affects us all Discover how the industry's next steps dictate the economy's future How do you create a quadrillion dollars out of nothing, blow it away and leave a hole so large that even years of "quantitative easing" can't fill it – and then go back to doing the same thing? Even amidst global recovery, the financial system still has the potential to seize up at any moment. The Money Formula explores the how and why of financial disaster, what must happen to prevent the next one.

Bad Choices

How Algorithms Can Help You Think Smarter and Live Happier

DOWNLOAD NOW »

Author: Ali Almossawi

Publisher: Penguin

ISBN: 0735222231

Category: Science

Page: 160

View: 4083

The wildly popular author of Bad Arguments returns with a funny, smart introduction to algorithms—those perennially misunderstood, increasingly important problem-solving rules that can save you time and lead to better choices, every day. Why is Facebook so good at predicting what you like? How do you discover new music? What's the best way to sort your laundry? Readers around the world have embraced Ali Almossawi's whimsical illustrations—drawn by his collaborator Alejandro Giraldo—and his funny, clarifying explanations of complex subjects. In fewer than 200 pages, Almossawi demystifies a new topic of increasing relevance to our lives: algorithms. Bad Choices is a book for anyone who's looked at a given task and wondered if there was a better, faster way to get the task done. What's the best way to organize a grocery list? What's the secret to being more productive at work? How can we better express ourselves in 140-characters? Presenting us with alternative methods for tackling twelve different scenarios, Almossawi guides us to better choices that borrow from same systems that underline a computer word processor, a Google search engine, or a Facebook ad. Once you recognize what makes a method faster and more efficient, you'll become a more nimble, creative problem-solver, ready to face new challenges. Bad Choices will open the world of algorithms to all readers making this a perennial go-to for fans of quirky, accessible science books. From the Hardcover edition.

How to Learn Almost Anything in 48 Hours

The Skills You Need to Work Smarter, Study Faster, and Remember More!

DOWNLOAD NOW »

Author: Tansel Ali

Publisher: Simon and Schuster

ISBN: 1440597774

Category: Self-Help

Page: 208

View: 8181

Shortcuts and brain hacks for learning new skills fast! Three-time Australian Memory Champion Tansel Ali reveals the secret to learning new skills fast--easy-to-learn memory strategies, including mind mapping, visualization techniques, and mnemonic devices. If you'd like to study for exams efficiently, speak a foreign language, memorize a speech, learn to play a new musical instrument, or improve your general knowledge, memory-training expert Tansel shows you how to do it quickly and effectively with the aid of a few memory tricks. Packed with practical exercises for honing memory and training your brain to learn well and learn fast, this is the ultimate book for sharpening your mind and expand your knowledge.

Made of Stars

DOWNLOAD NOW »

Author: Kelley York

Publisher: Entangled: Teen

ISBN: 1622660218

Category: Juvenile Fiction

Page: 320

View: 404

Made of Stars by Kelley York When eighteen-year-old Hunter Jackson and his half sister, Ashlin, return to their dad's for the first winter in years, they expect everything to be just like the warmer months they'd spent there as kids. And it is—at first. But Chance, the charismatic and adventurous boy who made their summers epic, is harboring deep secrets. Secrets that are quickly spiraling into something else entirely. The reason they've never met Chance's parents or seen his home is becoming clearer. And what the siblings used to think of as Chance's quirks—the outrageous stories, his clinginess, his dangerous impulsiveness—are now warning signs that something is seriously off. Then someone turns up with a bullet to the head, and all eyes shift to Chance's family. Hunter and Ashlin know Chance is innocent...they just have to prove it. But how can they protect the boy they both love when they can't trust a word Chance says?

Fluke

DOWNLOAD NOW »

Author: Joseph Mazur

Publisher: Oneworld Publications

ISBN: 1780749015

Category: Mathematics

Page: 256

View: 9807

What are the chances?! This exclamation greets the scarcely believable coincidence – you’re picked up by the same taxi driver several years and thousands of miles apart or, in a second-hand bookshop far from home, you find your own childhood copy of Winnie-the-Pooh on the shelf. But the unlikely is more probable than you think. Against every fibre of common sense, the fact is that it’s quite likely that some squirrel, somewhere, will be struck by lightning as it crosses the road. The chaos and unpredictability of our lives is an illusion. There is a rational order to the universe, and it’s called mathematics. Fluke is a fascinating investigation into the true nature of chance, a must-read for maths enthusiasts and avid storytellers alike, it tears down the veil of improbability to reveal the wonderfully possible.

Heinrich Himmler

The Sinister Life of the Head of the SS and Gestapo

DOWNLOAD NOW »

Author: Roger Manvell,Heinrich Fraenkel

Publisher: Skyhorse Publishing Inc.

ISBN: 1602391785

Category: Biography & Autobiography

Page: 285

View: 4398

A New York Times Best Seller! Authors Roger Manvell and Heinrich Fraenkel, notable biographers of the World War II German leaders Joseph Goebbels and Herman Goring, delve into the life of one of the most sinister, clever, and successful of all the Nazi leaders: Heinrich Himmler. As the head of the feared SS, Himler supervised the extermination of millions. Here is the story of how a seemingly ordinary boy grew into an obsessive and superstitious man who ventured into herbalism, astrology, and homeopathic medicine before finally turning to the "science" of racial purity and the belief in the superiority of the Aryan people. Skyhorse Publishing, along with our Arcade, Good Books, Sports Publishing, and Yucca imprints, is proud to publish a broad range of biographies, autobiographies, and memoirs. Our list includes biographies on well-known historical figures like Benjamin Franklin, Nelson Mandela, and Alexander Graham Bell, as well as villains from history, such as Heinrich Himmler, John Wayne Gacy, and O. J. Simpson. We have also published survivor stories of World War II, memoirs about overcoming adversity, first-hand tales of adventure, and much more. While not every title we publish becomes a national bestseller, we are committed to books on subjects that are sometimes overlooked and to authors whose work might not otherwise find a home.

Caesar's Last Breath

Decoding the Secrets of the Air Around Us

DOWNLOAD NOW »

Author: Sam Kean

Publisher: Little, Brown

ISBN: 0316381632

Category: Science

Page: 384

View: 2622

The Guardian's Best Science Book of 2017 One of Science News's Favorite Science Books of 2017 The fascinating science and history of the air we breathe It's invisible. It's ever-present. Without it, you would die in minutes. And it has an epic story to tell. In Caesar's Last Breath, New York Times bestselling author Sam Kean takes us on a journey through the periodic table, around the globe, and across time to tell the story of the air we breathe, which, it turns out, is also the story of earth and our existence on it. With every breath, you literally inhale the history of the world. On the ides of March, 44 BC, Julius Caesar died of stab wounds on the Senate floor, but the story of his last breath is still unfolding; in fact, you're probably inhaling some of it now. Of the sextillions of molecules entering or leaving your lungs at this moment, some might well bear traces of Cleopatra's perfumes, German mustard gas, particles exhaled by dinosaurs or emitted by atomic bombs, even remnants of stardust from the universe's creation. Tracing the origins and ingredients of our atmosphere, Kean reveals how the alchemy of air reshaped our continents, steered human progress, powered revolutions, and continues to influence everything we do. Along the way, we'll swim with radioactive pigs, witness the most important chemical reactions humans have discovered, and join the crowd at the Moulin Rouge for some of the crudest performance art of all time. Lively, witty, and filled with the astounding science of ordinary life, Caesar's Last Breath illuminates the science stories swirling around us every second.

The Book of Khalid

DOWNLOAD NOW »

Author: Ameen Rihani

Publisher: BoD – Books on Demand

ISBN: 3732680789

Category: Fiction

Page: 208

View: 2382

Reproduction of the original: The Book of Khalid by Ameen Rihani

Bottleneckers

Gaming the Government for Power and Private Profit

DOWNLOAD NOW »

Author: William Mellor,Dick M. Carpenter II

Publisher: Encounter Books

ISBN: 1594039089

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 440

View: 5735

Bottlenecker (n): a person who advocates for the creation or perpetuation of government regulation, particularly an occupational license, to restrict entry into his or her occupation, thereby accruing an economic advantage without providing a benefit to consumers. The Left, Right, and Center all hate them: powerful special interests that use government power for their own private benefit. In an era when the Left hates “fat cats” and the Right despises “crony capitalists,” now there is an artful and memorable one-word pejorative they can both get behind: bottleneckers. A “bottlenecker” is anyone who uses government power to limit competition and thereby reap monopoly profits and other benefits. Bottleneckers work with politicians to constrict competition, entrepreneurial innovation, and opportunity. They thereby limit consumer choice; drive up consumer prices; and they support politicians who willingly overstep the constitutional limits of their powers to create, maintain, and expand these anticompetitive bottlenecks. The Institute for Justice’s new book Bottleneckers coins a new word in the American lexicon, and provides a rich history and well-researched examples of bottleneckers in one occupation after another—from alcohol distributors to taxicab cartels—pointing the way to positive reforms.

The Sorcery Club

DOWNLOAD NOW »

Author: Elliott O'Donnell

Publisher: Lulu.com

ISBN: 1304969762

Category: Fiction

Page: 310

View: 8611

The Sorcery Club San Francisco is in the grip of an economic collapse, and three clerks find themselves on the verge of starvation until one of them discovers a strange old book in a junk shop. The book dates back several hundred years, and is an account of the history of the lost civilization of Atlantis and a practical guide to Atlantean black magic. By means of this tome they make contact with mysterious entities, who offer them a pact - if the three of them can abstain from marriage and from quarrelling with one another for a period of time they will have a succession of powers granted to them and of they hold to this compact for the full period they will have all of those powers for the remainder of their lives. If they break the pact they must however accept the consequences.

Making Marriage Simple

10 Relationship-Saving Truths

DOWNLOAD NOW »

Author: Harville Hendrix,Helen LaKelly Hunt

Publisher: Harmony

ISBN: 0770437141

Category: Family & Relationships

Page: 197

View: 3702

Draws on extensive research, counseling workshops with couples, and the authors' own thirty-year relationship to distill basic, provocative truths about marriage and provide essential tools for making marriage more rewarding.

The Rapture of the Nerds

A Tale of the Singularity, Posthumanity, and Awkward Social Situations

DOWNLOAD NOW »

Author: Cory Doctorow,Charles Stross

Publisher: Macmillan

ISBN: 0765329107

Category: Fiction

Page: 349

View: 9958

A tale set at the end of the twenty-first century finds the planet's divided hominid population subjected to the forces of a splintery metaconsciousness that inundates networks with plans for cataclysmic technologies, prompting an unwitting jury member to participate in a grueling decision.

Throwing Shadows

DOWNLOAD NOW »

Author: E.L. Konigsburg

Publisher: Simon and Schuster

ISBN: 9781442439757

Category: Juvenile Fiction

Page: 176

View: 9701

"Five short stories are told in the first person, all crisp and compactly tailored in setting forth their common theme of self-awareness".--Booklist (starred review)

Currency Kings: How Billionaire Traders Made their Fortune Trading Forex and How You Can Too

DOWNLOAD NOW »

Author: Ben Robson

Publisher: McGraw Hill Professional

ISBN: 1259863018

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 288

View: 9719

Win big and win often in the world’s greatest financial market With $5 trillion traded every day, FX dwarfs all other markets. It’s a tough market to master—but not as tough as people think. Currency Kings provides the keys anyone can use to unlock the enormous potential of FX. FX guru Ben Robson walks you through the process of 1) developing a sound strategy, 2) creating a competitive edge, 3) scaling your efforts, and 4) managing risk. It’s a simple, commonsense approach. And it works incredibly well. Robson has been using it to drive major profitability from FX for years. Throughout, he analyzes the strategies of the world’s greatest FX traders, including: • George Soros—perhaps the greatest FX trader ever • John Henry—the brilliant technical trader and risk manager • Urs Schwarzenbach—veritable king of options • Peter Cruddas—a pioneer of retail fx trading • Jim Simons—who made billions with computers and arbitrage • Renat Fatkhullin -- mastermind behind Metaquotes trading software Each of these investors have drawn untold profits through FX trading—and none of their styles is the same. Which goes to show that there is always room for innovation. Currency Kings provides the foundation, you build on it with the right combination of discipline, original thinking, and a powerful will to win. The behemoth called the FX market awaits. Use this unparalleled investing guide to profit beyond your wildest dreams.

Undeniable

DOWNLOAD NOW »

Author: Alison Kent

Publisher: Penguin

ISBN: 0425253260

Category: Fiction

Page: 342

View: 4818

When a man she has always desired returns to their hometown after a 16-year absence, Arwen renews their affair in the hopes of getting him out of her system only to discover that their bond has become stronger, a situation that is complicated by a difficult family secret. Original. 25,000 first printing.

The Society for Useful Knowledge

DOWNLOAD NOW »

Author: Jonathan Lyons

Publisher: Bloomsbury Publishing USA

ISBN: 1608195538

Category: History

Page: 220

View: 7030

A spellbinding, rich history of the American Enlightenment--think 1776 meets The Metaphysical Club